Equities and bonds are showing a heightened tendency in their trading behavior. The forthcoming meeting between Trump and Xi represents a crucial point of discussion today. In anticipation, the PBOC set the dollar’s reference rate at a new three-year low. Earlier this week, US Treasury Secretary Bessent visited Tokyo, and today, Japan reported a record Read More
The dollar continued to face pressure on Thursday, as optimism surrounding a potential de-escalation in the Iran-U.S. conflict bolstered currencies linked to oil. Meanwhile, Tokyo’s renewed verbal intervention to support the yen kept speculators on edge. On Wednesday, Iran announced that it was assessing a U.S. peace proposal, which sources suggested would officially conclude the Read More
The dollar has depreciated against the G10 currencies; however, the Norwegian krone exhibits heightened sensitivity to significant fluctuations in crude oil prices. The yen experienced a significant surge within a matter of minutes during the Asia Pacific trading session. Despite Japanese markets remaining closed for an extended holiday, speculation abounds regarding potential intervention by Japanese Read More
In markets with reduced activity due to the holiday, the dollar is generally weaker as anticipation builds for North American leadership. Given the recent increase in the yen, and contrary to our prior expectations, it seems that Japanese officials took significant action yesterday. The intervention could have been approximately $34.5 billion (~JPY5.4 trillion), which, if Read More
The dollar declined from multi-month peaks this week as rising energy prices disrupted the forecast for global interest rates, leaving the U.S. Federal Reserve as the sole major central bank not anticipated to raise rates this year. Prior to the onset of the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran at the end of February, market participants anticipated Read More
The dollar paused on Wednesday as declining crude oil prices ignited a hint of risk appetite in the markets, just before a series of important central bank decisions. The yen continued to show volatility, hovering around levels that raised worries about potential intervention from Tokyo, particularly in light of Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s upcoming Read More
The US dollar exhibits a generally stronger position, yet remains largely confined within its recent trading ranges. The inflationary implications arise as elevated energy prices persist in exerting upward pressure on bond yields. Despite April WTI remaining significantly below anticipated levels that many expected if the Strait of Hormuz were to be effectively closed, there Read More
The dollar experienced selling pressure during President Trump’s State of the Union Address. Nevertheless, in relation to the majority of G10 currencies, it continues to operate within established ranges, a situation that could be bolstered by an active option expiration calendar, as we will elaborate on below. Two notable exceptions exist. The Japanese yen has Read More
On Friday, the yen experienced a sudden strengthening, prompting market speculation regarding a possible rate check by authorities, which is frequently seen as a precursor to intervention. Meanwhile, the dollar was on track for its most significant weekly decline since June, as geopolitical tensions continued to unsettle investors. The yen was last observed slightly stronger Read More
The yen appreciated against the U.S. dollar, reflecting a technical recovery following warnings from Japanese officials about “one-sided and sharp” currency fluctuations. This statement indicated a preparedness to implement necessary measures, which analysts interpreted as a clear indication of potential intervention. The Japanese currency received a boost from a generally weaker dollar, which has faced Read More
