The dollar and oil continue to show strength. The market has shown a subdued response to President Trump’s announcement late yesterday regarding the extension of its commitment not to target Iran’s energy infrastructure for an additional ten days (April 6). Simultaneously, reports suggest that the US is evaluating the possibility of deploying additional troops to Read More
Currency markets exhibited signs of exhaustion during Asian trading on Wednesday, as traders remained wary of U.S. President Donald Trump’s attempts to resolve the conflict with Iran. Despite Trump’s assertions at the White House regarding progress in discussions with Iran, Tehran has refuted claims of any direct negotiations, leaving investors in a state of uncertainty. Read More
The markets continue to exhibit a sense of unease. The five-day hiatus announced by President Trump yesterday is being viewed with skepticism. The assertions made appear to align with psychological operations linked to warfare, such as commencing hostilities amidst negotiations. There is a prevailing sentiment that the upcoming five-day timeframe may facilitate the deployment of Read More
The market appeared to have an exaggerated response to the central bank meetings this week. The market interpreted Fed Chair Powell’s remarks as more hawkish compared to the FOMC statement, resulting in a significant increase in the dollar’s value. Yesterday, there was an excessive reaction to the Bank of England and European Central Banks, leading Read More
Amid ongoing tensions, there are reports of increased oil movement through the Strait of Hormuz, as well as through alternative pipelines that circumvent this critical chokepoint. President Trump is once more suggesting that the conflict may conclude soon. Second, Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi is in Washington today. It would be fascinating to observe as she Read More
Three key developments warrant attention. Initially, President Trump’s visit to China has been delayed by a minimum of one month. The White House associated it with the war efforts; however, earlier reports indicated that Chinese officials expressed disappointment regarding the insufficient progress in the preparatory efforts. The US administration indicated that the meeting might be Read More
The ongoing conflict remains a focal point, yet the dollar is experiencing a decline in value relative to the G10 currencies. April WTI is currently fluctuating within a $3 range on either side of $99 per barrel. The yields on US and European benchmark 10-year securities are slightly lower. While the markets may appear more Read More
The conflict in the Middle East is intensifying. The market appears to be indifferent to the announcement regarding the release of strategic oil reserves. The announcement lacks specifics regarding the pace and composition. Furthermore, the markets’ comprehension of the disruption extends well beyond oil, encompassing gas, fertilizer, sulfur, and urea. Compounding the geo-economic complexities, late Read More
The U.S. dollar, often seen as a safe haven, remained near its peak levels for the year on Thursday. This stability comes as rising oil prices raise concerns about inflation, potentially prompting central banks worldwide to shift towards more aggressive monetary policies. The euro experienced a decline of 0.1% against the US dollar, trading at Read More
The dollar exhibits a mixed performance as the North American session approaches. Increased anticipation of an interest rate increase next week has propelled the Australian dollar to its highest levels since June 2022. The Japanese yen currently stands as the weakest among the G10 currencies, with the dollar building on yesterday’s gains to approach JPY158.50, Read More
