The dollar and oil continue to show strength. The market has shown a subdued response to President Trump’s announcement late yesterday regarding the extension of its commitment not to target Iran’s energy infrastructure for an additional ten days (April 6). Simultaneously, reports suggest that the US is evaluating the possibility of deploying additional troops to Read More
The US dollar is currently exhibiting limited fluctuations against the G10 currencies; however, this apparent tranquility in the foreign exchange market conceals underlying tensions in other segments of the capital markets. Equities and bonds have experienced a sell-off. The prospect of resolving the Middle East conflict appears to have diminished, as the United States sends Read More
The markets continue to exhibit a sense of unease. The five-day hiatus announced by President Trump yesterday is being viewed with skepticism. The assertions made appear to align with psychological operations linked to warfare, such as commencing hostilities amidst negotiations. There is a prevailing sentiment that the upcoming five-day timeframe may facilitate the deployment of Read More
The market appeared to have an exaggerated response to the central bank meetings this week. The market interpreted Fed Chair Powell’s remarks as more hawkish compared to the FOMC statement, resulting in a significant increase in the dollar’s value. Yesterday, there was an excessive reaction to the Bank of England and European Central Banks, leading Read More
The ongoing conflict persists in unsettling the global capital markets. The US dollar continues to exhibit strength, primarily staying within the established ranges observed in recent days. It appears poised to move higher against the Japanese yen, with the JPY158 level facing increasing pressure. Despite Japan’s dependence on imported oil and refined products, the yen Read More
If this is indeed World War 3, the global demand is for dollars. The greenback is broadly higher, yet there is little movement elsewhere. Other safe havens, such as gold, the Swiss franc, and US Treasuries, are experiencing declines. Equity markets have experienced a sell-off, while the rally in oil is exerting pressure on bond Read More
The primary catalyst influencing the market at this moment is the conflict in the Middle East. Following a subdued conclusion last week, the dollar has experienced a rebound. The increase stands at 0.5% or more relative to the majority of G10 currencies. The Canadian dollar, typically exhibiting stronger performance in a robust US dollar context, Read More
The US dollar is predominantly weaker today as North American participants engage in the market. Market activity is subdued, with a prevailing consolidative atmosphere as the flow of news remains relatively calm. Despite the continuation of US and Iranian discussions scheduled for next week, market sentiment remains tense. Three key developments warrant attention. The PBOC Read More
The US dollar demonstrated notable resilience despite the weaker than anticipated Q4 GDP figures and the Supreme Court’s ruling on tariffs. However, it faced pressure earlier today during the Asia Pacific session, with Tokyo closed for a national holiday. It has gradually regained its position in Europe and is currently exhibiting a narrowly mixed performance. Read More
The US dollar is exhibiting a generally stronger performance, albeit subtly, as we approach a potentially volatile North American trading session. The focus extends beyond US data, which is abundant—featuring the PCE deflator, an initial glimpse at Q4 GDP, the preliminary February PMI, and the final February reading on consumer confidence from the University of Read More
