Gold Rally Stalls, SPX 500 Struggling to Overcome December Low

Talking Points:

  • US Dollar Still Waiting to Follow-Through on Reversal Signal
  • S&P 500 Struggling to Extend Reversal Below December Low
  • Crude Oil Bounce Falters Above $ 50 Figure, Gold Prices Stall

Can’t access the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices may be carving out a top after prices put in a bearish Evening Star candle pattern. Near-term support is at 11599, the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 23.6% level at 11527. Alternatively, a turn above the 23.6% Fib expansion at 11699 clears the way for a test of the 38.2% threshold at 11796.

Gold Rally Stalls, SPX 500 Struggling to Overcome December Low

Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices declined as expected after putting in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. A daily close below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1988.00 exposes the 50% level at 1955.80. Alternatively, a turn back above the 23.6% Fib at 2028.00 aims for the January 9 high at 2068.60.

Gold Rally Stalls, SPX 500 Struggling to Overcome December Low

Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices appear poised to continue higher after rising to the strongest level in over four months. A daily close above the 123.6% Fibonacci expansion at 1300.39 exposes the 138.2% level at 1316.16. Alternatively, a turn back below the 100% Fib at 1274.89 targets the 1249.39-55.20 area marked by the 76.4% expansion and the October 21 high.

Gold Rally Stalls, SPX 500 Struggling to Overcome December Low

Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices are attempting to recover as expected. A daily close above the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement at 50.49 exposes the 23.6% level at 53.77. Alternatively, a reversal below channel top resistance-turned-support at 47.45 targets the January 13 low at 45.17.

Gold Rally Stalls, SPX 500 Struggling to Overcome December Low

Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope

— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive Ilya’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Contact and follow Ilya on Twitter: @IlyaSpivak

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.
Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.

Dollar Index

[email protected]

You may also like...

Rules of Discussion on Gold Rally Stalls, SPX 500 Struggling to Overcome December Low

1. This forum is for discussion of financial markets. Please respect others view even if they are contrary to you.
2. Member's comments should lead to value addition in forum discussion.
3. If anyone is found making repetitive Explicit/Abusive/Racial comments, his account shall be banned and old posts will be deleted.
4. Providing Advice/Recommendations/Tips is fine but it should be free. Members cannot ask to be paid for it. Paid Advice is strictly prohibited
5. Spam links are not allowed. Too much promotion or using Contact info in ID will lead to account ban.
IMP : Members are requested to flag any violations to keep Forum Clean.
Note: If old messages appear, it is due to a software bug. Please click the 'Sort By Newest' Button on below right, then first select Oldest & after that Newest. Latest Message will appear. Sorry for this.